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Politics

Poll suggests tactical voting could push Reform UK to fourth place

Source: The Guardian UK · 24 Sep 2026, 09:14 UTC
Poll suggests tactical voting could push Reform UK to fourth place
Image: The Guardian UK · original report

A major poll reported by The Guardian suggests that widespread tactical voting could move Reform UK into fourth place at the next election and leave Labour close to a majority. The findings also indicate that Andy Burnham is drawing left-leaning voters back to Labour as they seek to block Nigel Farage.

Widespread tactical voting could push Reform UK into fourth place and bring Labour close to a majority at the next UK general election, according to a major poll reported by The Guardian. The findings suggest that some progressive voters are returning to Labour because they want to prevent Nigel Farage from gaining ground. Andy Burnham, identified in the report as attracting left-leaning voters, is said to be benefiting from that movement.

The Guardian said the poll examined five types of progressive voter and how their choices could affect Labour’s prospects. The supplied material does not provide the pollster, sample size, fieldwork dates or the projected number of seats. The reported outcome depends on tactical voting being widespread.

That means the possible electoral result is presented as a scenario based on voter behaviour, rather than as a forecast of a confirmed result. The material says Labour’s majority would depend on five progressive voter types, but it does not describe those groups individually or quantify their support for Labour, Reform UK or other parties. The report’s findings indicate that anti-Farage sentiment could influence the movement of voters on the left.

However, the supplied information contains no response from the parties or Farage and does not set out the poll’s wider voting figures.

About this report
This independently written report is based on information supplied by the named publisher. Vertrix News has not independently verified the source report.
View the original source at The Guardian UK →